Thanks to an enormous survey effort by our project team and dedicated volunteers, we now have a clearer picture of the species’ perilous state in mid-Cornwall.
Alarmingly, the River Camel population has been lost, and many former habitat pockets are now devoid of willow tits. They now occupy less than half the area they did 20 years ago. Their last strongholds in mid-Cornwall are the SSSIs of Goss Moor and Helman Tor. With so few breeding pairs remaining, predictive modelling indicates that a population crash—leading to extinction—is imminent.
However, this same modelling offers crucial insights into how we might reverse the decline. By combining high-quality data on willow tit presence with detailed habitat mapping derived from satellite and aerial remote sensing, we have identified specific parcels of land that, with targeted management changes, could become critical habitat. These areas provide new refuges for the species or create essential corridors linking existing habitat pockets.
This modelling is just the first step. It is a foundation for discussions with land managers who know their land and can implement the changes needed to support the species’ recovery. Using participatory mapping techniques, we are refining our models based on local knowledge to ensure suggested action is both practical and ecologically sound.
We’ve already seen success through our collaboration with Natural England on Goss Moor, where changes in land management are improving the habitat for willow tit and other key species, such as the Marsh Fritillary butterfly.